Shouldn't all eggs be putted in one basket? A portfolio model based on investor sentiment and inertial thinking
نویسندگان
چکیده
a r t i c l e i n f o In the portfolio choice literatures and the financial market, diversification and concentration are the focus of debate of philosophers. In this paper, we develop a model of portfolio choice to integrate the diversification strategy and the concentration strategy. Our model relies on the concepts of investor sentiment and inertial thinking. The results show that: Generally, when the level of sentiment is relatively low, an investor who is affected by sentiment and inertial thinking may do a well-diversified investment the same as the rational investor. When the level of sentiment is high enough, the investment strategies including diversification and concentration are complex and volatile. Quantitative results for either diversification or concentration investment are given for all cases in the paper. Shouldn't investor put all his (her) eggs in one basket? According to this question, there are two contrasting answers concerning the process of portfolio selection: Consent and contra. In fact, this is the debate about diversification and concentration in the field of portfolio choice. On the one hand, investment diversification almost has been accepted as one of the most fundamental tenets of modern financial economics since Markowitz posed the mean-variance framework. Markowitz (1952) argues that an investor should diversify across a large number of stocks, and it is inefficient to put a large holding in just a few stocks. support investment diversification by the analysis of standard financial theory which assumes that the investor is rational. Taking into account that the impact of standard financial theory is so strong, we assume that the investor should give priority to rational investment strategy. On the other hand, because of the lack of an analytical characterization , the academic literature has so far paid relatively little attention to concentration investment. There are few theories and models that can describe the concentrated investment. But, in the finance market, lack of diversification has been confirmed by a number of empirical researches. Blume and Friend (1975) find that the average number of stocks in the investor portfolio is only 3. also show that there are a very small number of stocks in the majority of investor's portfolio. Sporadic interpretations of concentrated investment are due to the overconfidence The paper is not against one of the investment strategies: Diversification and concentration. Our goal in the paper is to construct a bridge that contracts diversification with concentration. Boyle …
منابع مشابه
A High-Performance Model based on Ensembles for Twitter Sentiment Classification
Background and Objectives: Twitter Sentiment Classification is one of the most popular fields in information retrieval and text mining. Millions of people of the world intensity use social networks like Twitter. It supports users to publish tweets to tell what they are thinking about topics. There are numerous web sites built on the Internet presenting Twitter. The user can enter a sentiment ta...
متن کاملاستراتژی تخصیص بهینه داراییها در حضور بازار مسکن
In this study, by applyig a combination of Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity and stochastic differential equations Models with Markowitz model we estimate the optimal portfolio investment in the housing market are discussed. For this purpose, use of assets, stock prices, housing prices, the price of coins and bonds during the period 1999-2013 with the monthly data. Autoregre...
متن کاملInvestor Sentiment and Assets Valuation
Using the Chinese stock market data as sample, this paper investigates the impact of investor sentiment on the assets valuation. In order to classify stocks objectively, our sample stocks are sorted by double indicators (B/M and PE). In the portfolio, we find stocks with low B/M and high PE are sensitive to investor sentiment, which are considered to be costly to arbitrage. Investor sentiment h...
متن کاملSentiment and the Interpretation of News about Fundamentals
The reaction of closed-end fund share prices to changes in portfolio values is on average the same whether funds are trading at discounts or premia and whether the changes in portfolio values are positive or negative. If closed-end fund discounts and premia do correctly measure investor sentiment, then these results suggest that investor sentiment does not affect the market’s reaction to news a...
متن کاملSentiment approach to negative expected return in the stock market
a r t i c l e i n f o A large number of researches have shown that the negative return of risky asset exists and has the profound significance whether for actual investment or theory studies. This paper investigates the effect of sentiment by establishing the sentiment asset pricing model, and explores the negative expected return when the parameters change in different situations. We provide t...
متن کامل